Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Scam? Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Scam?.
Active sub-markets
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% Collignon | 100% Cerundolo |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 0% Raphael Collignon | 100% Juan Manuel Cerundolo |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% Over 2.5 | 0% Under 2.5 |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing **Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo** at **0% YES** on USDC-settled, Polygon-based conditional tokens, which usually means the contract is effectively marked as dead unless a late result or settlement edge case appears. In plain terms, that is a market price saying the named outcome is not being assigned any meaningful live probability right now, even though the Eastbourne event itself runs within the tournament week.[3][4][7]
For context, Eastbourne is a grass-court event played at Devonshire Park during the short pre-Wimbledon swing, with main-draw tennis scheduled across 22–27 June and play typically starting at 11:00 local time.[1][4][5][9] Markets on early-round ATP/WTA matches at this venue can move sharply when a player withdraws, the order of play changes, or a match is shifted between courts, because a non-starter, cancellation, or delay beyond seven days can trigger the contract’s 50-50 fallback rather than a normal winner resolution.
The key trader watchpoints are the official order of play, any injury or withdrawal announcements, and whether this specific pairing is still listed once the day’s schedule is published. At 6:00 PM UTC on match day, the practical issue is not the tournament date itself but whether the match was actually staged, completed, or abandoned within the market’s seven-day settlement window; if there is no winner determined, the payoff mechanics can override the on-court result and force the market to 50-50.官方 tournament pages and live scoreboards are the cleanest sources for confirming that status.[2][3][4][6]
Methodology
This page reviews Lexus Eastbourne Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Scam? — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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