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Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

Five-platform snapshot of "Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 22.5 99% Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 21.5 75% Volume: $166K Liquidity: $189K Closes: 20 Jul 2026
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Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 22.599%
Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 21.575%
Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 9.575%
Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 Winner60%
Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Total Sets: O/U 2.552%
Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 8.551%
Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 10.551%
Completed Match50%
Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 23.550%
Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili33%
Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set Handicap +/-1.55%
Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 Winner0%
Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to swedish open: jan choinski vs nikoloz basilashvili. This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Choinski and Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Swedish Open, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Choinsk…

Methodology

This page reviews Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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