Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| The Memphis Classic: Mary Stoiana vs Peyton Stearns Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| The Memphis Classic: Mary Stoiana vs Peyton Stearns Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| The Memphis Classic: Mary Stoiana vs Peyton Stearns Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| The Memphis Classic: Mary Stoiana vs Peyton Stearns Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| The Memphis Classic: Mary Stoiana vs Peyton Stearns Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| The Memphis Classic: Mary Stoiana vs Peyton Stearns Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| The Memphis Classic: Mary Stoiana vs Peyton Stearns Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| The Memphis Classic: Mary Stoiana vs Peyton Stearns Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| The Memphis Classic: Mary Stoiana vs Peyton Stearns | 0% |
| The Memphis Classic: Mary Stoiana vs Peyton Stearns Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| The Memphis Classic: Mary Stoiana vs Peyton Stearns Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| The Memphis Classic: Mary Stoiana vs Peyton Stearns Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| The Memphis Classic: Mary Stoiana vs Peyton Stearns Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| The Memphis Classic: Mary Stoiana vs Peyton Stearns Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| The Memphis Classic: Mary Stoiana vs Peyton Stearns Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of the memphis classic: mary stoiana vs peyton stearns. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Mary Stoiana and Peyton Stearns in the The Memphis Classic, originally scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will r…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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