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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Naomi Osaka vs Alexandra Eala

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Mubadala Citi DC Open: Naomi Osaka vs Alexandra Eala" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Naomi Osaka vs Alexandra Eala Set 1 O/U 8.5 69% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Naomi Osaka vs Alexandra Eala 59% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Naomi Osaka vs Alexandra Eala Set 2 Winner 57% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Naomi Osaka vs Alexandra Eala Set 1 Winner 56% Volume: $91K Liquidity: $452K Closes: 8 Aug 2026
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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Naomi Osaka vs Alexandra Eala

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
69% 31% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
69% 31% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Naomi Osaka vs Alexandra Eala Set 1 O/U 8.569%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Naomi Osaka vs Alexandra Eala59%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Naomi Osaka vs Alexandra Eala Set 2 Winner57%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Naomi Osaka vs Alexandra Eala Set 1 Winner56%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Naomi Osaka vs Alexandra Eala Match O/U 21.551%
Completed Match50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Naomi Osaka vs Alexandra Eala Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Naomi Osaka vs Alexandra Eala Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Naomi Osaka vs Alexandra Eala Set 1 O/U 9.548%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Naomi Osaka vs Alexandra Eala Match O/U 22.545%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Naomi Osaka vs Alexandra Eala Match O/U 23.542%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Naomi Osaka vs Alexandra Eala Total Sets: O/U 2.539%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Naomi Osaka vs Alexandra Eala Set Handicap +/-1.539%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Naomi Osaka vs Alexandra Eala Set 1 O/U 10.526%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Naomi Osaka vs Alexandra Eala Set 2 O/U 10.522%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, mubadala citi dc open: naomi osaka vs alexandra eala stands at 69% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Naomi Osaka and Alexandra Eala in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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