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Hamburg European Open: Tessa Brockmann vs Elsa Jacquemot

Five-platform snapshot of "Hamburg European Open: Tessa Brockmann vs Elsa Jacquemot" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Hamburg European Open: Tessa Brockmann vs Elsa Jacquemot Set 2 O/U 9.5 68% Hamburg European Open: Tessa Brockmann vs Elsa Jacquemot Set 1 O/U 9.5 67% Hamburg European Open: Tessa Brockmann vs Elsa Jacquemot Set 1 O/U 10.5 59% Hamburg European Open: Tessa Brockmann vs Elsa Jacquemot Set 2 O/U 10.5 57% Volume: $140K Liquidity: $155K Closes: 28 Jul 2026
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Hamburg European Open: Tessa Brockmann vs Elsa Jacquemot

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
68% 32% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
68% 32% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Hamburg European Open: Tessa Brockmann vs Elsa Jacquemot Set 2 O/U 9.568%
Hamburg European Open: Tessa Brockmann vs Elsa Jacquemot Set 1 O/U 9.567%
Hamburg European Open: Tessa Brockmann vs Elsa Jacquemot Set 1 O/U 10.559%
Hamburg European Open: Tessa Brockmann vs Elsa Jacquemot Set 2 O/U 10.557%
Completed Match50%
Hamburg European Open: Tessa Brockmann vs Elsa Jacquemot Match O/U 21.550%
Hamburg European Open: Tessa Brockmann vs Elsa Jacquemot Match O/U 22.545%
Hamburg European Open: Tessa Brockmann vs Elsa Jacquemot Set 1 Winner42%
Hamburg European Open: Tessa Brockmann vs Elsa Jacquemot Set Handicap +/-1.542%
Hamburg European Open: Tessa Brockmann vs Elsa Jacquemot Total Sets: O/U 2.540%
Hamburg European Open: Tessa Brockmann vs Elsa Jacquemot Set 2 Winner40%
Hamburg European Open: Tessa Brockmann vs Elsa Jacquemot Match O/U 23.540%
Hamburg European Open: Tessa Brockmann vs Elsa Jacquemot39%
Hamburg European Open: Tessa Brockmann vs Elsa Jacquemot Set 1 O/U 8.539%
Hamburg European Open: Tessa Brockmann vs Elsa Jacquemot Set 2 O/U 8.536%

Market context

Hamburg European Open: Tessa Brockmann vs Elsa Jacquemot — current market-implied probability: 68%. This market refers to the tennis match between Tessa Brockmann and Elsa Jacquemot in the Hamburg European Open, originally scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tessa…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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