Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
87% | 13% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
87% | 13% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Golden State Valkyries vs. Connecticut Sun | 87% |
| Spread -5.5 | 72% |
| Spread -6.5 | 63% |
| Spread -7.5 | 57% |
| Spread -8.5 | 53% |
| Veronica Burton: Points O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Janelle Salaün: Points O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Kayla Thornton: Points O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Kayla Thornton: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Veronica Burton: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Veronica Burton: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Leïla Lacan: Points O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa: Points O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Leïla Lacan: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Charlisse Leger-Walker: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Veronica Burton: Points O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Janelle Salaün: Points O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Kayla Thornton: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Gabby Williams: Assists O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Spread -9.5 | 47% |
| Gabby Williams: Points O/U 13.5 | 43% |
| Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| Gabby Williams: Points O/U 14.5 | 22% |
| O/U 154.5 | 21% |
| O/U 153.5 | 4% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 87% YES probability for Golden State Valkyries vs. Connecticut Sun. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 10 at 7:30PM ET: If the Golden State Valkyries win, the market will resolve to "Golden State Valkyries". If the Connecticut Sun win, the market will resol…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $381K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Golden State Valkyries vs. Connecticut Sun on Polymarket Scam?
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