Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
55% | 45% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
55% | 45% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -5.5 | 55% |
| O/U 161.5 | 53% |
| O/U 162.5 | 51% |
| Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| O/U 163.5 | 48% |
| Odyssey Sims: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 47% |
| Spread -7.5 | 45% |
| Odyssey Sims: Points O/U 10.5 | 44% |
| Gabby Williams: Assists O/U 2.5 | 35% |
| Arike Ogunbowale: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 34% |
| Arike Ogunbowale: Assists O/U 3.5 | 33% |
| Arike Ogunbowale: Assists O/U 2.5 | 33% |
| Paige Bueckers: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries | 30% |
| Jessica Shepard: Assists O/U 3.5 | 30% |
| Gabby Williams: Points O/U 13.5 | 28% |
| Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Gabby Williams: Points O/U 12.5 | 28% |
| Cecilia Zandalasini: Points O/U 9.5 | 27% |
| Veronica Burton: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 27% |
| Cecilia Zandalasini: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 27% |
| Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 18.5 | 27% |
| Odyssey Sims: Assists O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| Veronica Burton: Points O/U 13.5 | 26% |
| Veronica Burton: Assists O/U 6.5 | 26% |
| Odyssey Sims: Points O/U 9.5 | 26% |
| Jessica Shepard: Rebounds O/U 10.5 | 26% |
| Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 19.5 | 25% |
| Arike Ogunbowale: Points O/U 15.5 | 25% |
| Paige Bueckers: Assists O/U 5.5 | 25% |
| Jessica Shepard: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 25% |
| Jessica Shepard: Points O/U 12.5 | 21% |
| Jessica Shepard: Assists O/U 4.5 | 17% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, dallas wings vs. golden state valkyries stands at 55% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 17 at 10:00PM ET: If the Dallas Wings win, the market will resolve to "Dallas Wings". If the Golden State Valkyries win, the market …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $91K.
Methodology
This page reviews Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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