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Valorant: Team Secret vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Valorant: Team Secret vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 67% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 64% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 57% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 55% Volume: $59K Liquidity: $312K Closes: 25 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Team Secret vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
67% 33% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
67% 33% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.567%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.564%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.557%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.555%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.555%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.553%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.552%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: T1 (-3.5) vs Team Secret (+3.5)49%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: T1 (-3.5) vs Team Secret (+3.5)49%
Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Team Secret (+1.5)47%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: T1 (-3.5) vs Team Secret (+3.5)47%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.545%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: T1 (-4.5) vs Team Secret (+4.5)45%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: T1 (-4.5) vs Team Secret (+4.5)44%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.544%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: T1 (-4.5) vs Team Secret (+4.5)44%
O/U 2.5 Games41%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.535%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.534%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.532%
Map 1 Winner28%
Map 2 Winner28%
Match Winner25%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 67% YES probability for Valorant: Team Secret vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega. This market refers to the Valorant match between Team Secret and T1 in the VCT Pacific Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 25 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Secret" if Team Sec…

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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