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Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Scam?.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 100% Volume: $454K Closes: 18 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-3.5) vs Team Liquid (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-3.5) vs Team Liquid (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-4.5) vs Team Liquid (+4.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-5.5) vs Team Liquid (+5.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-6.5) vs Team Liquid (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-8.5) vs Team Liquid (+8.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-7.5) vs Team Liquid (+7.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-9.5) vs Team Liquid (+9.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-4.5) vs Team Liquid (+4.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-3.5) vs Team Heretics (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega. This market refers to the Valorant match between Team Heretics and Team Liquid in the VCT EMEA Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 18 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Heretics" i…

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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