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Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5) 100% Volume: $343K Liquidity: $495K Closes: 14 Aug 2026
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Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-3.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-4.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-5.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+5.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-6.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+6.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-4.5) vs BESTIA (+4.5)91%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-5.5) vs BESTIA (+5.5)91%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-6.5) vs BESTIA (+6.5)91%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-7.5) vs BESTIA (+7.5)91%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-8.5) vs BESTIA (+8.5)91%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-11.5) vs BESTIA (+11.5)91%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-9.5) vs BESTIA (+9.5)91%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs BESTIA (+2.5)90%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs BESTIA (+2.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-3.5) vs BESTIA (+3.5)90%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-3.5) vs BESTIA (+3.5)90%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-4.5) vs BESTIA (+4.5)90%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-5.5) vs BESTIA (+5.5)90%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.590%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-6.5) vs BESTIA (+6.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-7.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+7.5)55%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-8.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+8.5)55%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-9.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+9.5)55%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.555%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.555%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.555%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.545%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.545%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-7.5) vs BESTIA (+7.5)45%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-12.5) vs BESTIA (+12.5)26%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.510%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.510%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.510%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.510%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.510%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5)10%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.510%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: KRÜ (-1.5) vs BESTIA (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs BESTIA (+2.5)0%
Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to valorant: krü esports vs bestia (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 play-in. This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket round 1 match between KRÜ Esports and BESTIA in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In, initially scheduled for August 13 at 5:00PM ET. This market will res…

Methodology

We track Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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