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Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Scam?.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 100% Volume: $273K Liquidity: $333K Closes: 5 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 31.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.576%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.576%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.576%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
O/U 2.5 Games50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)50%
Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)49%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)49%
Map 2 Winner32%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5)25%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5)25%
Match Winner18%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-6.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+6.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-9.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+9.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+4.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-5.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+5.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-7.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+7.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-8.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+8.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-10.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+10.5)1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 32.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 34.51%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to valorant: gentle mates vs nongshim redforce (bo3) - esports world cup group c. This market refers to the Valorant Winners match between Gentle Mates and Nongshim RedForce in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 5 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

We track Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

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