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Valorant: Global Esports vs AG.AL International (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: Global Esports vs AG.AL International (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $218K Liquidity: $1.7M Closes: 5 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Global Esports vs AG.AL International (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map Handicap: AG.AL (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: AG.AL International (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Global Esports (-2.5) vs AG.AL International (+2.5)51%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.551%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.551%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: AG.AL International (-5.5) vs Global Esports (+5.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: GE (-1.5) vs AG.AL International (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Global Esports (-2.5) vs AG.AL International (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Global Esports (-2.5) vs AG.AL International (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Global Esports (-3.5) vs AG.AL International (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Global Esports (-4.5) vs AG.AL International (+4.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: AG.AL International (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: AG.AL International (-4.5) vs Global Esports (+4.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: AG.AL International (-3.5) vs Global Esports (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: AG.AL International (-4.5) vs Global Esports (+4.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: AG.AL International (-3.5) vs Global Esports (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: global esports vs ag.al international (bo3) - esports world cup group d stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant Elimination match between Global Esports and AG.AL International in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for July 5 at 7:00AM ET. …

Methodology

This page reviews Valorant: Global Esports vs AG.AL International (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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