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Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Scam?.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Volume: $104K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 10 Jul 2026
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Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map Handicap: FPX (-1.5) vs Trace Esports (+1.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FunPlus Phoenix (-2.5) vs Trace Esports (+2.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Trace Esports (-2.5) vs FunPlus Phoenix (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: TE (-1.5) vs FunPlus Phoenix (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Trace Esports (-2.5) vs FunPlus Phoenix (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Trace Esports (-2.5) vs FunPlus Phoenix (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: funplus phoenix vs trace esports (bo3) - vct china stage 2 group alpha stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant match between FunPlus Phoenix and Trace Esports in the VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 10 at 4:00AM ET. This market …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
and

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