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UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)

Five-platform snapshot of "UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki 70% O/U 1.5 Rounds 68% O/U 0.5 Rounds 53% Fight won by KO/TKO? 51% Volume: $157K Liquidity: $116K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
70% 30% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
70% 30% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki70%
O/U 1.5 Rounds68%
O/U 0.5 Rounds53%
Fight won by KO/TKO?51%
Zaynukov to win by KO/TKO?50%
Fight to Go the Distance?49%
O/U 2.5 Rounds48%
Rzepecki to win by KO/TKO?36%
Fight won by submission?11%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 70% YES probability for UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card). This market will resolve to "Magomed Zaynukov" if Magomed Zaynukov is officially declared the winner of the fight against Damian Rzepecki at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr., scheduled for J…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki at 70% for "UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)".

Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki 70% Other 30%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $157K.

Methodology

This page reviews UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card) across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

Trade UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepeck… on Polymarket Scam?

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