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UFC Fight Night: Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott (Featherweight, Prelims)

Five-platform snapshot of "UFC Fight Night: Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott (Featherweight, Prelims)" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 53% O/U 1.5 Rounds 53% Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott 52% Fight won by KO/TKO? 49% Volume: $204K Liquidity: $146K Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott (Featherweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
53% 47% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
53% 47% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds53%
O/U 1.5 Rounds53%
Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott52%
Fight won by KO/TKO?49%
O/U 2.5 Rounds49%
Fight won by submission?48%
Fight to Go the Distance?35%
Anderson to win by KO/TKO?32%
Elliott to win by KO/TKO?10%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 53% YES probability for UFC Fight Night: Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott (Featherweight, Prelims). This market will resolve to "Damien Anderson" if Damien Anderson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ezra Elliott at UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman, scheduled for July 18, 20…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 53% for "UFC Fight Night: Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott (Featherweight, Prelims)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 53% Other 47%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $204K.

Methodology

We track UFC Fight Night: Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott (Featherweight, Prelims) across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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