Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF

Platform comparison

Market context

Örgryte IS and Djurgardens IF played out a 0–0 draw in their Allsvenskan fixture at Gamla Ullevi on Monday, 20 July 2026, meaning the market for a Djurgardens win has already settled as false. On Polymarket, this contract trades at 0% YES in USDC on Polygon, reflecting the on-chain reality that the conditional token for a Djurgardens victory cannot resolve positively once the match ends without a win. Historically, similar Allsvenskan contracts where the favourite fails to win collapse to zero immediately post-match, with no late liquidity recovery; this mirrors cases like the 2024 Malmö FF versus Häcken draw, where the “Malmö win” token also settled at 0% once the final whistle confirmed the result [1][6].

Traders should watch for official match reports confirming the 0–0 scoreline and any subsequent disciplinary announcements that might affect future fixtures, though these will not alter this settled outcome. Djurgardens were heavy favourites pre-match at 1.39 odds with a 57.73% win probability, yet their away form and high-scoring tendencies did not translate into goals [2][6]. The over 2.5 goals market, priced at 1.47, also failed, underscoring how pre-game analytics can misfire in low-scoring Allsvenskan encounters [2]. With settlement locked at 2026-07-20T17:00:00Z and the result confirmed, no further catalysts will shift this contract’s probability.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.