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IR Iran vs. New Zealand - Exact Score

How the prediction-market book is pricing "IR Iran vs. New Zealand - Exact Score" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

11% YES 89% NO Volume: $250K Liquidity: $965K Closes: 16 Jun 2026
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IR Iran vs. New Zealand - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket Scam? Pick
polygram.ink
 11% 89% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Polymarket Scam? →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
 11% 89% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Polymarket Scam? →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Polymarket Scam? →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Polymarket Scam? →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Polymarket Scam? →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Scam?.

Active sub-markets

IR Iran 0 - 0 New Zealand11% YES90% NO
IR Iran 1 - 0 New Zealand17% YES84% NO
IR Iran 1 - 1 New Zealand13% YES88% NO
IR Iran 0 - 3 New Zealand1% YES99% NO
IR Iran 2 - 1 New Zealand10% YES91% NO
IR Iran 1 - 3 New Zealand1% YES99% NO

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, ir iran vs. new zealand - exact score stands at 11% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between IR Iran and New Zealand, scheduled for June 15, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the IR Iran vs.…

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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