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Sandefjord Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Sandefjord Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5) 100% FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% Volume: $177K Liquidity: $887K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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Sandefjord Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)100%
FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 0.5100%
FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 1.5100%
FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 2.5100%
FK Bodø/Glimt 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
FK Bodø/Glimt 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
FK Bodø/Glimt 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Sandefjord Fotball (-1.5)0%
Sandefjord Fotball (-2.5)0%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Sandefjord Fotball O/U 0.50%
Sandefjord Fotball O/U 1.50%
Sandefjord Fotball O/U 2.50%
Sandefjord Fotball 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Sandefjord Fotball 1st Half O/U 1.50%
FK Bodø/Glimt 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Sandefjord Fotball 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Sandefjord Fotball 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Polymarket is pricing the **“More Markets”** contract on Sandefjord Fotball vs FK Bodø/Glimt at **0% YES**, so the market is effectively saying there is no live on-chain value assigned to any additional outcome in this set today. On Polymarket, each view is expressed through **USDC**-backed positions on **Polygon**, with settlement handled by **conditional tokens**, so the contract price reflects traders’ consensus on whether the listed “more markets” event resolves in the affirmative rather than the football match itself.

That 0% reading sits well below the shape suggested by comparable pre-match models for the fixture. Recent previews generally lean towards a Bodø/Glimt win, with scoreline calls clustering around 0-2, 1-2 or 1-3, and one model putting the visitors at roughly 60% to win while another estimates 46.81% for Bodø/Glimt and 23.54% for the draw.[1][2][10] For a user reading this on-chain, the key point is that the market is not trading a broad “who wins” thesis but a narrower contractual condition, so even a plausible match outcome does not necessarily move this specific contract unless the settlement definition is triggered exactly.

The main catalysts are therefore procedural rather than purely sporting: official team news, late line-up changes, any postponement or rescheduling, and whether the “More Markets” specification matches what actually happens at kick-off and during settlement. Kick-off is set for 16:00 BST, and Bodø/Glimt previews have already stressed that scoring patterns and clean-sheet expectations could swing interpretation in related markets.[3][6] In a conditional-token market, those dependencies matter more than headline match sentiment, because resolution turns on the exact event text and the final verified result, not on pre-match probability alone.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Sandefjord Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

Sports