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Commanders vs. 49ers - Player Props

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Commanders vs. 49ers - Player Props" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Christian McCaffrey: Anytime Touchdown 100% Terry McLaurin: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 97% Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 93% Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 93% Volume: $84K Liquidity: $144K Closes: 20 Oct 2026
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Commanders vs. 49ers - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Christian McCaffrey: Anytime Touchdown100%
Terry McLaurin: Longest Reception O/U 19.597%
Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 39.593%
Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 69.593%
Christian McCaffrey: Receptions O/U 2.592%
Christian McCaffrey: Receptions O/U 4.592%
Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 199.591%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 124.590%
Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 224.589%
Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 79.588%
Christian McCaffrey: Receptions O/U 5.588%
George Kittle: Receptions O/U 3.588%
George Kittle: Anytime Touchdown88%
George Kittle: Team First TD (San Francisco 49ers)88%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 149.586%
Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 9.584%
Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 249.583%
Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 9.583%
Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 39.581%
George Kittle: Receptions O/U 4.581%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 174.580%
George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 39.580%
Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 89.580%
Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 19.578%
Brock Purdy: Passing Completions O/U 21.578%
Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 14.577%
Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 274.576%
Brock Purdy: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.576%
Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 19.576%
Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 14.575%
George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 49.575%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.571%
Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 19.569%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 199.568%
Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 9.568%
Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 99.568%
Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 49.567%
Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 19.566%
Christian McCaffrey: Receptions O/U 6.562%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 224.561%
Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 14.559%
Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 39.559%
George Kittle: Receptions O/U 5.558%
Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 299.555%
Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 4.554%
Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 24.554%
Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 29.553%
George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 59.553%
Brock Purdy: Passing Attempts O/U 35.552%
Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 149.551%
Brock Purdy: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.551%
Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 4.551%
Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 34.551%
Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 9.551%
George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 19.551%
George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 29.551%
Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 29.551%
Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 49.551%
Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 59.551%
Christian McCaffrey: Receptions O/U 3.551%
George Kittle: Receptions O/U 2.551%
Mike Evans: Longest Reception O/U 24.551%
Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 174.550%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 99.550%
Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 34.550%
Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 19.550%
Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 29.550%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Rushing Yards O/U 19.550%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Rushing Yards O/U 29.550%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Rushing Yards O/U 39.550%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Rushing Yards O/U 49.550%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Rushing Yards O/U 59.550%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Rushing Yards O/U 69.550%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Rushing Yards O/U 79.550%
Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 9.550%
Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 34.550%
Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 44.550%
Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 4.550%
Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 29.550%
Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 29.550%
Mike Evans: Receptions O/U 2.550%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 2+ Touchdowns50%
Kaelon Black: 2+ Touchdowns50%
George Kittle: Longest Reception O/U 24.550%
Brock Purdy: Passing Attempts O/U 27.550%
Brock Purdy: Passing Attempts O/U 31.550%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Attempts O/U 27.550%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Attempts O/U 31.550%
Brock Purdy: Passing Completions O/U 19.550%
Brock Purdy: Passing Completions O/U 23.550%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Completions O/U 17.550%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Completions O/U 19.550%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Completions O/U 21.550%
Brock Purdy: Team First TD (San Francisco 49ers)50%
Chig Okonkwo: Team First TD (Washington Commanders)50%
Christian McCaffrey: Team First TD (San Francisco 49ers)50%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Team First TD (Washington Commanders)50%
Jayden Daniels: Team First TD (Washington Commanders)50%
Kaelon Black: Team First TD (San Francisco 49ers)50%
Mike Evans: Team First TD (San Francisco 49ers)50%
Rachaad White: Team First TD (Washington Commanders)50%
Terry McLaurin: Team First TD (Washington Commanders)50%
Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 59.548%
Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 24.548%
Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 109.546%
Christian McCaffrey: 2+ Touchdowns46%
George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 69.545%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 249.544%
Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 19.543%
Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 39.542%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Attempts O/U 35.542%
Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 324.540%
Mike Evans: Receptions O/U 3.539%
Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 29.536%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.534%
Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 39.533%
Brock Purdy: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.532%
Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 49.532%
George Kittle: Receptions O/U 6.532%
Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 69.530%
George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 79.528%
Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 49.527%
George Kittle: 2+ Touchdowns27%
Mike Evans: Receptions O/U 4.526%
Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 79.525%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Rushing Yards O/U 9.525%
Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 39.525%
Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 24.523%
George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 89.523%
George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 99.523%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 274.522%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 299.522%
Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 59.522%
Jayden Daniels: Anytime Touchdown22%
Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 89.521%
Mike Evans: Anytime Touchdown21%
Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 349.520%
Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 29.520%
Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 69.520%
Rachaad White: Anytime Touchdown19%
Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 59.518%
Brock Purdy: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.517%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.517%
Mike Evans: Receptions O/U 5.516%
Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 99.514%
George Kittle: Receptions O/U 8.514%
Kaelon Black: Anytime Touchdown14%
Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 39.513%
Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 79.513%
George Kittle: Receptions O/U 7.513%
Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 79.512%
Brock Purdy: Anytime Touchdown12%
Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 89.511%
Rachaad White: 2+ Touchdowns11%
Chig Okonkwo: Anytime Touchdown10%
Jayden Daniels: 2+ Touchdowns10%
Mike Evans: Receptions O/U 6.59%
Brock Purdy: 2+ Touchdowns9%
Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 69.57%
Terry McLaurin: Anytime Touchdown7%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.55%
Mike Evans: Receptions O/U 7.55%
Chig Okonkwo: 2+ Touchdowns5%
Mike Evans: Receptions O/U 8.53%
Mike Evans: 2+ Touchdowns3%
Terry McLaurin: 2+ Touchdowns2%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Commanders vs. 49ers - Player Props. Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Commanders and 49ers, scheduled for October 19 at 8:15 PM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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