Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 190.5 | 96% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 95% |
| O/U 192.5 | 94% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 94% |
| 1Q O/U 41.5 | 94% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 93% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 93% |
| Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 93% |
| O/U 194.5 | 92% |
| Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 92% |
| 1H O/U 90.5 | 92% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 1.5 | 91% |
| 1Q O/U 43.5 | 91% |
| O/U 196.5 | 90% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 1.5 | 90% |
| 1H O/U 92.5 | 89% |
| O/U 198.5 | 88% |
| O/U 200.5 | 87% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 87% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 87% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 1.5 | 86% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 9.5 | 85% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 9.5 | 85% |
| Keldon Johnson: Points O/U 4.5 | 85% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 85% |
| 1H O/U 94.5 | 85% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 19.5 | 84% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 1.5 | 84% |
| 1Q O/U 45.5 | 84% |
| Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 4.5 | 83% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 9.5 | 83% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 83% |
| O/U 202.5 | 82% |
| Spread -2.5 | 81% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 14.5 | 80% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 1.5 | 80% |
| 1H O/U 96.5 | 80% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 3.5 | 79% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 1.5 | 78% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 78% |
| O/U 204.5 | 77% |
| 1Q O/U 47.5 | 77% |
| Spread -4.5 | 76% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 3.5 | 76% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 76% |
| Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 76% |
| Spurs O/U 105.5 | 75% |
| O/U 206.5 | 74% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 74% |
| 1H O/U 98.5 | 74% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 73% |
| Spurs O/U 103.5 | 73% |
| Spurs O/U 111.5 | 72% |
| Spurs O/U 107.5 | 72% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 71% |
| Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 71% |
| Spurs O/U 109.5 | 71% |
| O/U 208.5 | 70% |
| Spread -6.5 | 70% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5 | 70% |
| Al Horford: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 70% |
| Warriors O/U 97.5 | 70% |
| Warriors O/U 91.5 | 70% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 69% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 69% |
| 1Q O/U 49.5 | 69% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 52.5 | 69% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 45.5 | 69% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 68% |
| Warriors O/U 99.5 | 68% |
| Warriors O/U 95.5 | 68% |
| Warriors O/U 93.5 | 68% |
| Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 67% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 67% |
| Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 67% |
| 2Q O/U 48.5 | 67% |
| 1H O/U 100.5 | 67% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 9.5 | 66% |
| Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 66% |
| O/U 210.5 | 65% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 3.5 | 65% |
| Gui Santos: Points O/U 4.5 | 65% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 14.5 | 64% |
| Spread -8.5 | 63% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 14.5 | 63% |
| Al Horford: Points O/U 4.5 | 62% |
| Spread -9.5 | 61% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 61% |
| 1H O/U 102.5 | 61% |
| O/U 212.5 | 60% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 3.5 | 60% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5 | 60% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 54.5 | 60% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 59% |
| 1Q O/U 51.5 | 59% |
| 2Q O/U 50.5 | 59% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 47.5 | 59% |
| Draymond Green: Points O/U 4.5 | 58% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 9.5 | 58% |
| De'Anthony Melton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 58% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 14.5 | 57% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 19.5 | 57% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 57% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 57% |
| 4Q O/U 52.5 | 57% |
| O/U 214.5 | 56% |
| Spread -10.5 | 56% |
| Al Horford: Assists O/U 1.5 | 56% |
| Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 56% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 56% |
| Draymond Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 56% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| Spread -11.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 55% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 55% |
| 1H O/U 104.5 | 55% |
| Spurs O/U 113.5 | 54% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 3.5 | 53% |
| Warriors O/U 101.5 | 53% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 53% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 52% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 9.5 | 52% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 56.5 | 51% |
| Odd/Even Score | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| Spurs O/U 114.5 | 51% |
| Georges Niang: Points O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Georges Niang: Points O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Georges Niang: Points O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Georges Niang: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Georges Niang: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| O/U 216.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Will Richard: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 2H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 2H O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 2H O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Georges Niang: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Will Richard: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Will Richard: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Will Richard: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Al Horford: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Al Horford: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Al Horford: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 49% |
| 1Q O/U 53.5 | 49% |
| Warriors O/U 102.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 12.5 | 48% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 17.5 | 48% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 48% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 49.5 | 48% |
| Overtime? | 48% |
| O/U 217.5 | 48% |
| Draymond Green: Points O/U 5.5 | 48% |
| O/U 218.5 | 47% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 21.5 | 47% |
| Keldon Johnson: Points O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 47% |
| Spread -13.5 | 46% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 28.5 | 46% |
| Julian Champagnie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 46% |
| Spurs O/U 115.5 | 46% |
| O/U 219.5 | 45% |
| Warriors O/U 103.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 45% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 44% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 44% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5 | 44% |
| De'Anthony Melton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 44% |
| Al Horford: Points O/U 6.5 | 43% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| Spread -14.5 | 42% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 42% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 29.5 | 42% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 42% |
| Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 42% |
| Julian Champagnie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 42% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5 | 42% |
| O/U 220.5 | 41% |
| 1H O/U 108.5 | 41% |
| Spread -15.5 | 40% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Steals O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| 1Q O/U 55.5 | 40% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 40% |
| Warriors O/U 105.5 | 40% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 58.5 | 40% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 39% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 39% |
| Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 39% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 39% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 51.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 39% |
| Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 38% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Steals O/U 1.5 | 38% |
| Spread -16.5 | 37% |
| O/U 222.5 | 37% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 18.5 | 37% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Steals O/U 0.5 | 37% |
| Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 0.5 | 37% |
| Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 0.5 | 37% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 0.5 | 37% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 37% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5 | 36% |
| Julian Champagnie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 36% |
| Spread -17.5 | 35% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 19.5 | 35% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 14.5 | 35% |
| De'Anthony Melton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 35% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 35% |
| O/U 224.5 | 34% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 6.5 | 34% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 19.5 | 34% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 5.5 | 34% |
| Draymond Green: Steals O/U 0.5 | 34% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 4.5 | 34% |
| Spurs O/U 117.5 | 34% |
| 1Q O/U 57.5 | 34% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Steals O/U 0.5 | 34% |
| Al Horford: Assists O/U 2.5 | 34% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 3.5 | 33% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Steals O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 1.5 | 32% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| Spread -18.5 | 31% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 24.5 | 31% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 31% |
| Warriors O/U 107.5 | 31% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 60.5 | 31% |
| Warriors O/U 109.5 | 31% |
| Warriors O/U 111.5 | 31% |
| Warriors O/U 115.5 | 31% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 31% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 5.5 | 30% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 30% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5 | 30% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 29% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 53.5 | 29% |
| 1H O/U 112.5 | 29% |
| Warriors O/U 113.5 | 29% |
| Gui Santos: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 29% |
| O/U 226.5 | 28% |
| Spread -19.5 | 28% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 19.5 | 28% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 28% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| Draymond Green: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 28% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| Spurs O/U 121.5 | 28% |
| Spurs O/U 123.5 | 28% |
| Spurs O/U 125.5 | 28% |
| Spurs O/U 127.5 | 28% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 16.5 | 28% |
| Spread -20.5 | 27% |
| Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 27% |
| Spurs O/U 119.5 | 27% |
| O/U 228.5 | 26% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 26% |
| Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 25% |
| Julian Champagnie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 25% |
| 1Q O/U 59.5 | 25% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 24% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5 | 24% |
| Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 24% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 24% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 24% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 24% |
| Gui Santos: Points O/U 9.5 | 24% |
| Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 24% |
| O/U 230.5 | 23% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 34.5 | 23% |
| Keldon Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 23% |
| 1H Moneyline | 23% |
| Spread -22.5 | 22% |
| Al Horford: Points O/U 9.5 | 22% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 7.5 | 22% |
| Al Horford: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 22% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 21% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 5.5 | 21% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 21% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| O/U 232.5 | 19% |
| Keldon Johnson: Points O/U 14.5 | 19% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 19% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 19% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 19% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 24.5 | 18% |
| Draymond Green: Points O/U 9.5 | 18% |
| Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 14.5 | 18% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 18% |
| Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 18% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Steals O/U 2.5 | 18% |
| Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 1.5 | 18% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 18% |
| Spread -24.5 | 17% |
| Will Richard: Points O/U 9.5 | 17% |
| Keldon Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 17% |
| Draymond Green: Steals O/U 1.5 | 17% |
| Draymond Green: Steals O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -22.5 | 17% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Steals O/U 1.5 | 17% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Steals O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| Warriors vs. Spurs | 16% |
| O/U 234.5 | 16% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 44.5 | 16% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 16% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 16% |
| Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 15% |
| 1H Spread -24.5 | 15% |
| Spread -26.5 | 14% |
| Spread -1.5 | 14% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 14% |
| Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Draymond Green: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| O/U 236.5 | 13% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 29.5 | 13% |
| Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 13% |
| Al Horford: Assists O/U 3.5 | 13% |
| Draymond Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 13% |
| Gui Santos: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 13% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 24.5 | 12% |
| De'Anthony Melton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| 1Q O/U 63.5 | 12% |
| Spread -28.5 | 11% |
| O/U 238.5 | 11% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 24.5 | 11% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Al Horford: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| Draymond Green: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 11% |
| Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| 1H O/U 120.5 | 10% |
| Spread -30.5 | 9% |
| O/U 240.5 | 9% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 39.5 | 9% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 34.5 | 9% |
| Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 9% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 9.5 | 9% |
| Julian Champagnie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Steals O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| Spread -5.5 | 8% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 8% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 2.5 | 8% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 2.5 | 8% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| O/U 242.5 | 7% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 7% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 9.5 | 7% |
| Draymond Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 7% |
| 1Q O/U 65.5 | 7% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 7% |
| Spread -32.5 | 6% |
| Spread -7.5 | 6% |
| O/U 246.5 | 6% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 29.5 | 6% |
| Keldon Johnson: Points O/U 19.5 | 6% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 6% |
| Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 6% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 11.5 | 6% |
| Al Horford: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 19.5 | 6% |
| Keldon Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 6% |
| De'Anthony Melton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 6% |
| Gui Santos: Points O/U 14.5 | 6% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 6% |
| Spread -34.5 | 5% |
| O/U 244.5 | 5% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 9.5 | 5% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 5% |
| Spread -9.5 | 4% |
| Al Horford: Points O/U 14.5 | 4% |
| Spread -36.5 | 3% |
| Spread -11.5 | 3% |
| Spread -13.5 | 3% |
| Draymond Green: Points O/U 14.5 | 3% |
| Will Richard: Points O/U 14.5 | 3% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 3% |
| Al Horford: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 3% |
| Al Horford: Assists O/U 5.5 | 3% |
| Draymond Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 3% |
| Spread -38.5 | 2% |
| Spread -40.5 | 2% |
| Spread -42.5 | 2% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, warriors vs. spurs stands at 96% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming NBA game between Warriors and Spurs, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $268K.
Methodology
We track Warriors vs. Spurs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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