Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
87% | 13% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
87% | 13% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Pacers O/U 113.5 | 87% |
| O/U 221.5 | 85% |
| Pacers O/U 112.5 | 83% |
| Mavericks O/U 105.5 | 82% |
| O/U 224.5 | 80% |
| Mavericks O/U 106.5 | 78% |
| O/U 227.5 | 75% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 75% |
| Pacers O/U 116.5 | 74% |
| Mavericks O/U 116.5 | 73% |
| Pacers O/U 123.5 | 73% |
| O/U 230.5 | 71% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 71% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 58.5 | 71% |
| Spread -1.5 | 69% |
| O/U 231.5 | 68% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 55.5 | 68% |
| Mavericks O/U 110.5 | 68% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 68% |
| O/U 232.5 | 66% |
| Mavericks O/U 111.5 | 66% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 65% |
| Pacers O/U 118.5 | 65% |
| O/U 233.5 | 64% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 64% |
| Spread -3.5 | 63% |
| O/U 234.5 | 63% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 60.5 | 63% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 19.5 | 61% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 61% |
| O/U 235.5 | 60% |
| Spread -4.5 | 60% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 60% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 59% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 57.5 | 59% |
| O/U 236.5 | 58% |
| Spread -5.5 | 57% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 5.5 | 57% |
| Pacers O/U 121.5 | 57% |
| O/U 237.5 | 56% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 14.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| Pacers O/U 122.5 | 56% |
| O/U 238.5 | 55% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 55% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 4.5 | 55% |
| Mavericks O/U 115.5 | 55% |
| Spread -6.5 | 54% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5 | 54% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 54% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5 | 53% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 53% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 14.5 | 53% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 53% |
| Pacers O/U 111.5 | 53% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 62.5 | 53% |
| O/U 239.5 | 53% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 52% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 52% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| O/U 240.5 | 51% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 131.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 117.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 133.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 24.5 | 49% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 49% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 60.5 | 49% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 48% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 47% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 47% |
| Spread -8.5 | 46% |
| Overtime? | 46% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 20.5 | 45% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 19.5 | 44% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 64.5 | 44% |
| O/U 243.5 | 43% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 19.5 | 43% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 43% |
| Spread -9.5 | 42% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 42% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 4.5 | 42% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 2.5 | 42% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 14.5 | 42% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Assists O/U 2.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 41% |
| Pacers O/U 126.5 | 41% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 9.5 | 40% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 1.5 | 40% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 24.5 | 39% |
| Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 2.5 | 39% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 39% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 61.5 | 39% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 126.5 | 38% |
| O/U 246.5 | 37% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 14.5 | 37% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 19.5 | 37% |
| Obi Toppin: Assists O/U 2.5 | 37% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 4.5 | 37% |
| Spread -11.5 | 36% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 14.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 36% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 6.5 | 35% |
| 1H Moneyline | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 66.5 | 35% |
| Mavericks O/U 121.5 | 35% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 12.5 | 34% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 3.5 | 34% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 33% |
| Pacers O/U 128.5 | 33% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 10.5 | 32% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 12.5 | 31% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 9.5 | 31% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 9.5 | 31% |
| Mavericks vs. Pacers | 30% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 30% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 30% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 4.5 | 30% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 30% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 30% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 9.5 | 30% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 9.5 | 30% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 63.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 30% |
| O/U 249.5 | 29% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 24.5 | 29% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 29% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5 | 29% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 29% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 14.5 | 29% |
| Spread -14.5 | 28% |
| Spread -1.5 | 28% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 34.5 | 28% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 28% |
| Obi Toppin: Assists O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 4.5 | 27% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Assists O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 27% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 29.5 | 26% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 34.5 | 26% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 39.5 | 26% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 26% |
| 4Q O/U 60.5 | 26% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5 | 25% |
| 1H O/U 130.5 | 25% |
| Mavericks O/U 125.5 | 25% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 24% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 24% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 24% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 14.5 | 23% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 23% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 2.5 | 23% |
| Mavericks O/U 120.5 | 23% |
| Pacers O/U 127.5 | 23% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 19.5 | 22% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 22% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 22% |
| Spread -17.5 | 21% |
| Spread -4.5 | 21% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 14.5 | 21% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 20% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 20% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 20% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 20% |
| Mavericks O/U 126.5 | 20% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 19% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 9.5 | 18% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 24.5 | 17% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 17% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 11.5 | 17% |
| Spread -20.5 | 16% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 24.5 | 16% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 16% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 16% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 14.5 | 16% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 16% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 29.5 | 15% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 24.5 | 15% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 15% |
| Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 15.5 | 14% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 9.5 | 13% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 12% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 12% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 11% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 14.5 | 11% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 39.5 | 10% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 9% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 13.5 | 9% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 34.5 | 8% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 29.5 | 8% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 29.5 | 8% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 11.5 | 8% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 8% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 6% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 19.5 | 6% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 87% probability to mavericks vs. pacers. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 7:00PM ET: If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the Pacers win, the market will resolve to "Pacers". If the game is po…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $271K.
Methodology
This page reviews Mavericks vs. Pacers across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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