Cavaliers vs. Knicks

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is pricing this Cavaliers–Knicks market at 54% for the Knicks to win, with USDC locked on Polygon and the contract settling through conditional tokens once the final score is official, including any overtime. In plain terms, the market is slightly favouring New York at Madison Square Garden rather than treating the game as a close coin flip, despite Cleveland needing a response after dropping Game 1.

That 54% sits in line with the wider playoff context: New York already leads the series 1-0 after a 115-104 win on Wednesday, and Jalen Brunson’s 38-point showing is the most obvious recent form line feeding the price. Comparable Game 2 situations in a short series often keep the home side shaded if the first game was convincing, especially when the spread is still firmly in the Knicks’ favour. ESPN’s pregame listing had New York around a 6.5-point favourite, which broadly matches a market leaning to the home team but not by a landslide.

For traders, the main catalysts are simple and immediate: whether the confirmed line-up changes at all, whether any late injury or minutes restriction news moves the spread, and whether the market gets re-priced after pre-tip reporting from the major NBA outlets. ESPN’s preview has the game at 8 p.m. ET and notes the series status, while CBS Sports’ recent coverage also pointed to New York’s home-court edge and a total in the low-to-mid 210s. Because this resolves on the final score, any overtime only matters insofar as it changes who wins outright.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Cavaliers vs. Knicks across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.