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Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees

Five-platform snapshot of "Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 68% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 55% O/U 7.5 52% NRFI 43% Volume: $85K Liquidity: $2.0M Closes: 20 Aug 2026
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Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
68% 32% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
68% 32% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.568%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.555%
O/U 7.552%
NRFI43%
O/U 8.543%
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees42%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.541%
Spread -1.540%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.535%
O/U 9.534%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.531%
Spread -1.531%
Spread -2.528%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.523%
Spread -2.522%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.520%
Extra Innings9%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, seattle mariners vs. new york yankees stands at 68% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and New York Yankees, scheduled for August 13 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mar…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 68% for "Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 68% Other 32%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $85K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

Trade Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees on Polymarket Scam?

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

Sports