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New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals

How the prediction-market book is pricing "New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 82% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 69% 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 56% NRFI 53% Volume: $246K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
82% 18% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
82% 18% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.582%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.569%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.556%
NRFI53%
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals48%
O/U 9.548%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.544%
Spread -1.538%
Spread -1.536%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.534%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.533%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.527%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.524%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.518%
Extra Innings7%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 82% probability to new york yankees vs. washington nationals. In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Washington Nationals, scheduled for July 12 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 82% for "New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 82% Other 18%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $246K.

Methodology

This page reviews New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Related Topics

Sports