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Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

NRFI 100% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 71% 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 51% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 51% Volume: $267K Liquidity: $53K Closes: 10 Jul 2026
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Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
NRFI100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.571%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.551%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.551%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.551%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.550%
Extra Innings50%
O/U 8.550%
Spread -1.545%
O/U 9.543%
O/U 10.537%
Spread -2.537%
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees31%
O/U 11.526%

Market context

The Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and New York Yankees, scheduled for July 3 at 7:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. This …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices NRFI at 100% for "Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees".

NRFI 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $267K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

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Related Topics

Sports