Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
16% | 84% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
16% | 84% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Spread -3.5 | 16% YES | 85% NO |
| Spread -3.5 | 18% YES | 82% NO |
| Spread -1.5 | 37% YES | 64% NO |
| O/U 10.5 | 23% YES | 78% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 79% YES | 22% NO |
| O/U 5.5 | 68% YES | 33% NO |
Market context
Polymarket has this contract at 16% YES, so the market is pricing Cleveland as a clear underdog against Detroit before first pitch. On Polygon, the usual USDC-settled conditional-token mechanics mean the price reflects a live estimate of whether the Guardians, not the Tigers, will be the official winner once the game is completed and graded by the recognised final result.
That low single-digit-to-teens pricing is consistent with a matchup where the field and form still lean Detroit, but recent results matter. The Guardians beat the Tigers 8-2 on Monday, with José Ramírez driving the offence, before the teams played again on Tuesday night. In practical terms, traders often read a price like this as a blend of team strength, venue, and short-run performance rather than a straight win/loss forecast.
The main catalysts are line-up and pitching announcements, plus any weather or postponement risk that could keep the token open beyond the scheduled window. ESPN’s recent game coverage shows the series is in motion, and MLB.com’s Tigers standings page is the cleanest reference for current context on Detroit’s place in the table. If the game is delayed, suspended, or rescheduled, the contract stays open until the official result lands; if there is no make-up game or a tie, it resolves 50-50.
Methodology
This page reviews Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers on PolyGram
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