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Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Five-platform snapshot of "Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 77% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 64% NRFI 50% O/U 8.5 50% Volume: $83K Liquidity: $1.4M Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
77% 23% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
77% 23% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.577%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.564%
NRFI50%
O/U 8.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.549%
Spread -1.544%
O/U 9.540%
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers38%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.538%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.538%
Spread -2.534%
O/U 10.533%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.530%
Spread -1.528%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.522%
Spread -2.519%
Extra Innings10%

Market context

The Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers prediction market currently prices this outcome at 77% YES. In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for August 2 at 7:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. Thi…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 77% for "Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 77% Other 23%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $83K.

Methodology

We track Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

Sports