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Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Five-platform snapshot of "Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 5.5 56% O/U 6.5 52% Extra Innings 50% O/U 2.5 50% Volume: $301K Liquidity: $395K Closes: 15 Jul 2026
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Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 56% 44% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 56% 44% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 5.556%
O/U 6.552%
Extra Innings50%
O/U 2.550%
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates47%
O/U 3.537%
O/U 4.528%
Spread -1.527%
Spread -1.521%
O/U 7.56%
O/U 8.55%
O/U 9.54%
NRFI0%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 56% probability to atlanta braves vs. pittsburgh pirates. In the upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for July 8 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. This m…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 5.5 at 56% for "Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates".

O/U 5.5 56% Other 44%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $301K.

Methodology

This page reviews Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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