Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Querétaro FC 0 - 1 CF América | 100% |
| Querétaro FC 0 - 0 CF América | 0% |
| Querétaro FC 1 - 0 CF América | 0% |
| Querétaro FC 0 - 2 CF América | 0% |
| Querétaro FC 1 - 1 CF América | 0% |
| Querétaro FC 2 - 0 CF América | 0% |
| Querétaro FC 0 - 3 CF América | 0% |
| Querétaro FC 1 - 2 CF América | 0% |
| Querétaro FC 2 - 1 CF América | 0% |
| Querétaro FC 3 - 0 CF América | 0% |
| Querétaro FC 1 - 3 CF América | 0% |
| Querétaro FC 2 - 2 CF América | 0% |
| Querétaro FC 3 - 1 CF América | 0% |
| Querétaro FC 2 - 3 CF América | 0% |
| Querétaro FC 3 - 2 CF América | 0% |
| Querétaro FC 3 - 3 CF América | 0% |
| Any Other Score | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of querétaro fc vs. cf américa - exact score. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming Liga MX game between Querétaro FC and CF América, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Querétaro FC …
Methodology
We track Querétaro FC vs. CF América - Exact Score across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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