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LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Match Winner 85% Game 1 Winner 72% Game 3 Winner 71% Game 2 Winner 70% Volume: $121K Liquidity: $1.0M Closes: 29 Aug 2026
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LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
85% 15% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
85% 15% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner85%
Game 1 Winner72%
Game 3 Winner71%
Game 2 Winner70%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)67%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon63%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?63%
Game 4 Winner62%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?61%
O/U 3.5 Games60%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?57%
First Blood in Game 3?56%
Any Player Quadra Kill55%
Any Player Quadra Kill55%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor54%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
First Blood in Game 2?53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
First Blood in Game 1?52%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?43%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?42%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon40%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon39%
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)37%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?36%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?30%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
O/U 4.5 Games25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill24%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?23%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 85% probability to lol: t1 vs bnk fearx (bo5) - lck playoffs. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between T1 and BNK FEARX in the LCK Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" …

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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