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LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 63% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 63% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 62% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 55% Volume: $124K Liquidity: $644K Closes: 22 Jul 2026
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LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
63% 37% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
63% 37% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon63%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?63%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon62%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?55%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
First Blood in Game 1?48%
Game 1 Winner47%
Game 2 Winner47%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon47%
Match Winner45%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?44%
First Blood in Game 2?40%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?40%
Any Player Quadra Kill37%
Any Player Quadra Kill37%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor35%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor34%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors33%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors33%
Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)30%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 63% probability to lol: lgd gaming vs edward gaming (bo3) - lpl group ascend. This market refers to the LoL match between LGD Gaming and EDward Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for July 22 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming …

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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