LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

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Market context

JD Gaming face Anyone's Legend in a League of Legends best-of-three match within the LPL Group Ascend competition, scheduled for 10 May at 7:00 AM ET. The Polymarket contract currently prices JD Gaming's victory at 57%, implying a 43% probability for Anyone's Legend. Settlement occurs on Polygon via USDC-denominated conditional tokens, with the market resolving to 50-50 if the match is cancelled, delayed beyond seven days without completion, or ends in a tie—a meaningful tail risk given competitive esports scheduling volatility.

JD Gaming operates as an established LPL franchise with consistent playoff appearances and mid-tier regional standing, whilst Anyone's Legend represents a newer or lower-seeded roster within the same league structure. Historical LPL matchups between established and emerging teams typically favour the former by 55-65% in betting markets, suggesting the current 57% reflects baseline competitive hierarchy rather than exceptional confidence in JD Gaming's form. The absence of recent roster changes or injury reports in available LPL announcements means the market is pricing primarily on seasonal standing rather than tactical surprises.

Traders should monitor LPL official schedules for any postponements—esports matches frequently shift due to technical issues or player availability—and watch for team-specific announcements regarding lineup changes up to match time. The seven-day delay clause creates a discrete resolution risk; any postponement beyond 17 May would trigger 50-50 settlement regardless of eventual outcome. Recent LPL Group Ascend standings and head-to-head records between these rosters remain the primary data points for recalibrating positions before settlement on 10 May.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.