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LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 81% First Blood in Game 1? 60% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 55% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? 53% Volume: $63K Liquidity: $725K Closes: 13 Aug 2026
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LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
81% 19% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
81% 19% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon81%
First Blood in Game 1?60%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor55%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Game 1 Winner45%
Game 2 Winner45%
Match Winner42%
First Blood in Game 2?42%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?38%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?38%
Any Player Quadra Kill34%
Any Player Penta Kill33%
Any Player Penta Kill33%
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)32%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors31%
Any Player Quadra Kill25%
Game Handicap: KRX (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)20%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 81% YES probability for LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group. This market refers to the LoL match between Kiwoom DRX and BNK FEARX in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 13 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom DRX" if Kiwoo…

Methodology

We track LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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