Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 3% YES | 98% NO |
Market context
Cloud9 face FlyQuest in a League of Legends best-of-three match during the LCS regular season, scheduled for 10 May at 4:00 PM ET. The Polymarket contract currently trades at 100% YES, reflecting the conditional token pricing on Polygon where USDC backs both sides. This extreme probability suggests either overwhelming market confidence in Cloud9's victory or minimal liquidity depth in the order book, a common pattern for regional esports matches where trading volume concentrates around major tournaments rather than regular season fixtures.
Historical LCS regular season matches between established organisations rarely fail to complete, though technical pauses and extended series do occur. Cloud9 and FlyQuest have played multiple times across seasons without cancellations or forfeits, establishing a baseline expectation that the match will resolve to a decisive winner rather than trigger the 50-50 tie condition. The 100% probability reflects this structural reliability alongside competitive positioning, though it leaves no margin for the scheduling delays or unforeseen circumstances that could push resolution beyond the 7-day window.
Traders should monitor LCS official announcements for any venue changes, player roster updates, or broadcast delays that might affect the 10 May fixture. Recent esports scheduling has remained stable post-pandemic, but equipment failures or player illness occasionally force postponements. The settlement window closes 11 May at 02:00 UTC, providing a narrow buffer; any delay extending past 17 May would trigger the 50-50 resolution regardless of eventual match outcome. Liquidity conditions may shift if either team announces significant roster changes or if the match gains prominence within broader LCS playoff implications.
Methodology
This page reviews LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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