LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

HANJIN BRION face DN SOOPers in a best-of-three League of Legends match within the LCK's opening rounds, scheduled for 15 May at 6:00 AM ET. The Polymarket contract currently prices this fixture at 100% implied probability for a HANJIN BRION victory, with settlement contingent on match completion by 22 May. This extreme skew reflects either substantial backing for the favourites or minimal liquidity in the conditional token pair on Polygon; USDC deposits into this market have concentrated heavily on the YES side, leaving the DN SOOPers outcome with negligible open interest.

Historical LCK match cancellations remain rare, though schedule disruptions have occurred during roster transitions and infrastructure issues. The 7-day grace period embedded in the settlement terms mirrors standard esports market design, accounting for potential broadcast delays or technical pauses that don't invalidate the match itself. Previous seasons show that opening-round fixtures rarely forfeit unless organisational collapse precedes them—a low-probability scenario for both teams given their LCK licensing status.

Traders should monitor LCK official announcements for any roster changes, coach departures, or venue complications in the 48 hours before fixture time. Recent Korean esports reporting has flagged minor scheduling adjustments within the spring season, though no material disruptions affecting these squads have surfaced. The settlement window closes immediately post-match, meaning delayed broadcasts or overtime play won't extend the resolution window; any technical failure to determine a winner within the deadline triggers the 50-50 split clause.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.