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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 66% Match Winner 60% Odd/Even Total Kills 50% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 28% Volume: $124K Liquidity: $133K Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
66% 34% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
66% 34% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon66%
Match Winner60%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Any Player Quadra Kill27%
Any Player Penta Kill26%

Market context

Market consensus: 66% chance of lol: bilibili gaming vs t1 (bo1) - esports world cup group c. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between Bilibili Gaming and T1 in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 16 at 5:00AM ET. This market …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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