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ITF Sao Paulo: Isabella Barrera Aguirre vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez

Five-platform snapshot of "ITF Sao Paulo: Isabella Barrera Aguirre vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

ITF Sao Paulo: Isabella Barrera Aguirre vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% ITF Sao Paulo: Isabella Barrera Aguirre vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% ITF Sao Paulo: Isabella Barrera Aguirre vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez Set 1 Winner 100% ITF Sao Paulo: Isabella Barrera Aguirre vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez Set 2 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $112K Liquidity: $79K Closes: 21 Jul 2026
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ITF Sao Paulo: Isabella Barrera Aguirre vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
ITF Sao Paulo: Isabella Barrera Aguirre vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
ITF Sao Paulo: Isabella Barrera Aguirre vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
ITF Sao Paulo: Isabella Barrera Aguirre vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez Set 1 Winner100%
ITF Sao Paulo: Isabella Barrera Aguirre vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
ITF Sao Paulo: Isabella Barrera Aguirre vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez Total Sets: O/U 2.551%
Completed Match50%
ITF Sao Paulo: Isabella Barrera Aguirre vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez Match O/U 21.550%
ITF Sao Paulo: Isabella Barrera Aguirre vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez Set Handicap +/-1.550%
ITF Sao Paulo: Isabella Barrera Aguirre vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez Match O/U 22.550%
ITF Sao Paulo: Isabella Barrera Aguirre vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez Match O/U 23.550%
ITF Sao Paulo: Isabella Barrera Aguirre vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez24%
ITF Sao Paulo: Isabella Barrera Aguirre vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez Set 2 Winner0%
ITF Sao Paulo: Isabella Barrera Aguirre vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez Set 1 O/U 9.50%
ITF Sao Paulo: Isabella Barrera Aguirre vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez Set 2 O/U 10.50%
ITF Sao Paulo: Isabella Barrera Aguirre vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

ITF Sao Paulo: Isabella Barrera Aguirre vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the tennis match between Isabella Barrera Aguirre and Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez in the ITF Women Sao Paulo, originally scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. This market…

Methodology

This page reviews ITF Sao Paulo: Isabella Barrera Aguirre vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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