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Wimbledon WTA: Barbora Krejcikova vs Mirra Andreeva

Five-platform snapshot of "Wimbledon WTA: Barbora Krejcikova vs Mirra Andreeva" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Wimbledon WTA: Barbora Krejcikova vs Mirra Andreeva Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon WTA: Barbora Krejcikova vs Mirra Andreeva Set 2 O/U 9.5 100% Wimbledon WTA: Barbora Krejcikova vs Mirra Andreeva Set 2 O/U 10.5 100% Wimbledon WTA: Barbora Krejcikova vs Mirra Andreeva Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $918K Liquidity: $165K Closes: 8 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon WTA: Barbora Krejcikova vs Mirra Andreeva

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon WTA: Barbora Krejcikova vs Mirra Andreeva Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon WTA: Barbora Krejcikova vs Mirra Andreeva Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon WTA: Barbora Krejcikova vs Mirra Andreeva Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon WTA: Barbora Krejcikova vs Mirra Andreeva Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon WTA: Barbora Krejcikova vs Mirra Andreeva Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon WTA: Barbora Krejcikova vs Mirra Andreeva Set 2 Winner100%
Wimbledon WTA: Barbora Krejcikova vs Mirra Andreeva Match O/U 21.599%
Wimbledon WTA: Barbora Krejcikova vs Mirra Andreeva Match O/U 22.599%
Wimbledon WTA: Barbora Krejcikova vs Mirra Andreeva Match O/U 23.599%
Wimbledon WTA: Barbora Krejcikova vs Mirra Andreeva Total Sets: O/U 2.588%
Wimbledon WTA: Barbora Krejcikova vs Mirra Andreeva72%
Completed Match50%
Wimbledon WTA: Barbora Krejcikova vs Mirra Andreeva Set Handicap +/-1.52%
Wimbledon WTA: Barbora Krejcikova vs Mirra Andreeva Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon WTA: Barbora Krejcikova vs Mirra Andreeva Set 1 Winner0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Wimbledon WTA: Barbora Krejcikova vs Mirra Andreeva. This market refers to the tennis match between Barbora Krejcikova and Mirra Andreeva in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Barbora Kre…

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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