Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Gabriela Knutson Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Gabriela Knutson Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Gabriela Knutson Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Gabriela Knutson Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Gabriela Knutson Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Gabriela Knutson | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Gabriela Knutson Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Gabriela Knutson Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Gabriela Knutson Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Gabriela Knutson Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Gabriela Knutson Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Gabriela Knutson Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Gabriela Knutson Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Gabriela Knutson Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Gabriela Knutson Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, livesport prague open, qualification: aoi ito vs gabriela knutson stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Aoi Ito and Gabriela Knutson in the Livesport Prague Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This …
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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