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Newport: Reese Brantmeier vs Elizabeth Mandlik

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Newport: Reese Brantmeier vs Elizabeth Mandlik" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Scam?.

Completed Match 100% Newport: Reese Brantmeier vs Elizabeth Mandlik Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Newport: Reese Brantmeier vs Elizabeth Mandlik Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Newport: Reese Brantmeier vs Elizabeth Mandlik Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $187K Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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Newport: Reese Brantmeier vs Elizabeth Mandlik

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Newport: Reese Brantmeier vs Elizabeth Mandlik Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Newport: Reese Brantmeier vs Elizabeth Mandlik Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Newport: Reese Brantmeier vs Elizabeth Mandlik Set 2 Winner100%
Newport: Reese Brantmeier vs Elizabeth Mandlik Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Newport: Reese Brantmeier vs Elizabeth Mandlik Match O/U 21.5100%
Newport: Reese Brantmeier vs Elizabeth Mandlik Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Newport: Reese Brantmeier vs Elizabeth Mandlik Match O/U 22.5100%
Newport: Reese Brantmeier vs Elizabeth Mandlik Match O/U 23.5100%
Newport: Reese Brantmeier vs Elizabeth Mandlik0%
Newport: Reese Brantmeier vs Elizabeth Mandlik Set 1 Winner0%
Newport: Reese Brantmeier vs Elizabeth Mandlik Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Newport: Reese Brantmeier vs Elizabeth Mandlik Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Newport: Reese Brantmeier vs Elizabeth Mandlik Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Newport: Reese Brantmeier vs Elizabeth Mandlik Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Newport: Reese Brantmeier vs Elizabeth Mandlik Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

The tennis match between Reese Brantmeier and Elizabeth Mandlik at the International Tennis Hall of Fame in Newport, Rhode Island, is scheduled to begin today at 11:00 AM ET, with the market currently pricing Brantmeier’s advancement at 0% YES. On Polymarket, this conditional token contract trades on Polygon with USDC settlement, where the 0% price reflects an extreme market consensus that Brantmeier will not win, despite the match being live or imminent.

Historically, similar 0% pricing in WTA 125K events has occurred only when one player faced a confirmed injury, withdrawal, or severe form collapse before the first serve. In the 2022 Evansville W60, Elizabeth Mandlik defeated Brantmeier 6-2, 4-6, 6-3, and since then, Mandlik’s career prize money has grown to over $1 million compared to Brantmeier’s $166,818, suggesting a clear performance gap that markets often codify as near-certain outcomes [7][8].

Traders should monitor real-time score feeds for any first-set break point statistics or serve percentages, as Mandlik has won 63% of first-serve points and 67% of second-serve points in recent Newport matches, while Brantmeier has yet to register a break point won in this tournament [4]. Any announcement regarding player fitness or schedule changes from the WTA 125K Newport official site would be the primary catalyst for a price shift, though no such updates have been issued as of this evening [1]. The settlement window closes on 16 July 2026, and if the match is delayed beyond seven days without a winner, the contract resolves to 50-50.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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