Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Newport: Reese Brantmeier vs Elizabeth Mandlik Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Newport: Reese Brantmeier vs Elizabeth Mandlik Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Newport: Reese Brantmeier vs Elizabeth Mandlik Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Newport: Reese Brantmeier vs Elizabeth Mandlik Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Newport: Reese Brantmeier vs Elizabeth Mandlik Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Newport: Reese Brantmeier vs Elizabeth Mandlik Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Newport: Reese Brantmeier vs Elizabeth Mandlik Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Newport: Reese Brantmeier vs Elizabeth Mandlik Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Newport: Reese Brantmeier vs Elizabeth Mandlik | 0% |
| Newport: Reese Brantmeier vs Elizabeth Mandlik Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Newport: Reese Brantmeier vs Elizabeth Mandlik Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Newport: Reese Brantmeier vs Elizabeth Mandlik Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Newport: Reese Brantmeier vs Elizabeth Mandlik Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Newport: Reese Brantmeier vs Elizabeth Mandlik Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Newport: Reese Brantmeier vs Elizabeth Mandlik Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
The tennis match between Reese Brantmeier and Elizabeth Mandlik at the International Tennis Hall of Fame in Newport, Rhode Island, is scheduled to begin today at 11:00 AM ET, with the market currently pricing Brantmeier’s advancement at 0% YES. On Polymarket, this conditional token contract trades on Polygon with USDC settlement, where the 0% price reflects an extreme market consensus that Brantmeier will not win, despite the match being live or imminent.
Historically, similar 0% pricing in WTA 125K events has occurred only when one player faced a confirmed injury, withdrawal, or severe form collapse before the first serve. In the 2022 Evansville W60, Elizabeth Mandlik defeated Brantmeier 6-2, 4-6, 6-3, and since then, Mandlik’s career prize money has grown to over $1 million compared to Brantmeier’s $166,818, suggesting a clear performance gap that markets often codify as near-certain outcomes [7][8].
Traders should monitor real-time score feeds for any first-set break point statistics or serve percentages, as Mandlik has won 63% of first-serve points and 67% of second-serve points in recent Newport matches, while Brantmeier has yet to register a break point won in this tournament [4]. Any announcement regarding player fitness or schedule changes from the WTA 125K Newport official site would be the primary catalyst for a price shift, though no such updates have been issued as of this evening [1]. The settlement window closes on 16 July 2026, and if the match is delayed beyond seven days without a winner, the contract resolves to 50-50.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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