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Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek Set 1 O/U 10.5 100% Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek Match O/U 22.5 90% Volume: $877K Liquidity: $350K Closes: 22 Jul 2026
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Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek Match O/U 22.590%
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek Match O/U 23.588%
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek Match O/U 21.587%
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek Set 2 Winner68%
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek Total Sets: O/U 2.568%
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek Set 2 O/U 8.551%
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek Set 2 O/U 9.551%
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek Set 2 O/U 10.551%
Completed Match50%
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek42%
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek Set Handicap +/-1.53%
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek Set 1 Winner0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to iasi open: anna bondar vs tamara zidansek. This market refers to the tennis match between Anna Bondar and Tamara Zidansek in the Iasi Open, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anna Bondar' if Anna…

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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