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Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Five-platform snapshot of "Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

6% YES 94% NO Volume: $559K Liquidity: $8K Closes: 31 Dec 2026
Trade on Polymarket Scam? →
Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket Scam? Pick
polygram.ink
6% 94% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Polymarket Scam? →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
6% 94% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Polymarket Scam? →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Polymarket Scam? →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Polymarket Scam? →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Polymarket Scam? →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Scam?.

Active sub-markets

Alex Pereira6% YES94% NO
Magomed Ankalaev12% YES88% NO
Khalil Rountree Jr.1% YES99% NO
Azamat Murzakanov0% YES100% NO
Volkan Oezdemir1% YES99% NO
Bogdan Guskov7% YES93% NO

Market context

The Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026? prediction market currently prices this outcome at 6% YES. This market will resolve according to the official UFC Light Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book signals 6% probability for "Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?".

YES 6% NO 94%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $559K.

Methodology

This page reviews Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Scam? — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??
Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

Trade Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the en… on Polymarket Scam?

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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