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Valorant: VARREL vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: VARREL vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 64% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 62% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 53% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 51% Volume: $109K Liquidity: $219K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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Valorant: VARREL vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
64% 36% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
64% 36% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.564%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.562%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.553%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.547%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: DRX (-2.5) vs VARREL (+2.5)47%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: DRX (-2.5) vs VARREL (+2.5)45%
Map 1 Winner44%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: DRX (-2.5) vs VARREL (+2.5)43%
Map 2 Winner42%
Match Winner42%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.540%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.538%
Map Handicap: KRX (-1.5) vs VARREL (+1.5)30%

Market context

Valorant: VARREL vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega — current market-implied probability: 64%. This market refers to the Valorant match between VARREL and DRX in the VCT Pacific Group Omega, initially scheduled for August 2 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "VARREL" if VARREL win the m…

Methodology

We track Valorant: VARREL vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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