Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
56% | 44% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
56% | 44% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 56% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 52% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 51% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 51% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 51% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 49% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 49% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 48% |
| Map 1 Winner | 43% |
| Map 2 Winner | 43% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5) | 41% |
| Match Winner | 36% |
| Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5) | 33% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5) | 32% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5) | 32% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5) | 27% |
| Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5) | 19% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: team liquid vs eternal fire (bo3) - vct emea group omega stands at 56% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant match between Team Liquid and Eternal Fire in the VCT EMEA Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 15 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve t…
Methodology
This page reviews Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Trade Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EM… on Polymarket Scam?
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