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Valorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 62% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 62% Map 1 Winner 56% Map 2 Winner 56% Volume: $213K Liquidity: $317K Closes: 17 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
62% 38% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
62% 38% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.562%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.562%
Map 1 Winner56%
Map 2 Winner56%
Match Winner55%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.553%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.548%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5)40%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5)39%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.539%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.538%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5)38%
Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)32%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: sentinels vs cloud9 (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 group omega stands at 62% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant match between Sentinels and Cloud9 in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 16 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resol…

Methodology

We track Valorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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