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Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $160K Liquidity: $540K Closes: 3 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nightblood Gaming (-2.5) vs YFT Esports (+2.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nightblood Gaming (-2.5) vs YFT Esports (+2.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nightblood Gaming (-2.5) vs YFT Esports (+2.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: NBG (-1.5) vs YFT Esports (+1.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map Handicap: YFT (-1.5) vs Nightblood Gaming (+1.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: nightblood gaming vs yft esports (bo3) - vcl north america: stage 3 playoffs stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Nightblood Gaming and YFT Esports in the VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for …

Methodology

We track Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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