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Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Scam?.

Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 100% Volume: $336K Liquidity: $662K Closes: 4 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs Paper Rex (+2.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs Paper Rex (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs Paper Rex (+2.5)90%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-4.5) vs Paper Rex (+4.5)90%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs Paper Rex (+3.5)90%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-5.5) vs Paper Rex (+5.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-7.5) vs Paper Rex (+7.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-6.5) vs Paper Rex (+6.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.510%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5)10%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-6.5) vs Karmine Corp (+6.5)10%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.510%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)10%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-4.5) vs Paper Rex (+4.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs Paper Rex (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs Paper Rex (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-5.5) vs Karmine Corp (+5.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Paper Rex (+1.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: karmine corp vs paper rex (bo3) - esports world cup group b stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant Elimination match between Karmine Corp and Paper Rex in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 4 at 9:45AM ET. This market …

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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