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Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5) 100% Volume: $362K Liquidity: $263K Closes: 29 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.597%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.590%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.575%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.575%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.575%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.575%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.551%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.551%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5)25%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-6.5) vs Gentle Mates (+6.5)25%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5)25%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-7.5) vs Gentle Mates (+7.5)25%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-6.5) vs Gentle Mates (+6.5)10%
Match Winner3%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.51%
Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 31.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 32.51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-7.5) vs Gentle Mates (+7.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-6.5) vs Gentle Mates (+6.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-8.5) vs Gentle Mates (+8.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-9.5) vs Gentle Mates (+9.5)1%
Map 2 Winner0%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%

Market context

Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Valorant match between Gentle Mates and Team Vitality in the VCT EMEA Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 29 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Gentle Mates" i…

Methodology

This page reviews Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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