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FK Kudrivka vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk - Exact Score

Comparison of odds and platforms for "FK Kudrivka vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk - Exact Score" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Scam?.

FK Kudrivka 1 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk 50% FK Kudrivka 3 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk 50% Any Other Score 50% FK Kudrivka 2 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk 23% Volume: $94K Liquidity: $360K Closes: 3 Aug 2026
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FK Kudrivka vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
50% 50% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
50% 50% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
FK Kudrivka 1 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk50%
FK Kudrivka 3 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk50%
Any Other Score50%
FK Kudrivka 2 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk23%
FK Kudrivka 3 - 2 FK Shakhtar Donetsk18%
FK Kudrivka 3 - 1 FK Shakhtar Donetsk3%
FK Kudrivka 0 - 1 FK Shakhtar Donetsk1%
FK Kudrivka 0 - 2 FK Shakhtar Donetsk1%
FK Kudrivka 0 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk1%
FK Kudrivka 0 - 0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk0%
FK Kudrivka 1 - 0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk0%
FK Kudrivka 1 - 1 FK Shakhtar Donetsk0%
FK Kudrivka 2 - 0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk0%
FK Kudrivka 1 - 2 FK Shakhtar Donetsk0%
FK Kudrivka 2 - 1 FK Shakhtar Donetsk0%
FK Kudrivka 3 - 0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk0%
FK Kudrivka 2 - 2 FK Shakhtar Donetsk0%

Market context

Polymarket’s contract on FK Kudrivka versus FK Shakhtar Donetsk is sitting at **0% YES**, which means the market is pricing virtually no chance that the final score lands on the listed exact outcome required for settlement. On Polymarket, that view is expressed through **USDC** on **Polygon**, with the market resolving via conditional tokens once the 90-minute scoreline and stoppage time are official; extra time and penalties do not count.

The match-up itself gives a useful frame for that pricing. The two sides have already met twice in league play, with Shakhtar winning **4-0** in October 2025 and **3-1** in April 2026[2][7][18]. That history matters because exact-score markets are narrower than standard win/lose pricing: even when one team is clearly stronger, the contract only pays if the final number matches the listed scoreline exactly. Recent form also leans towards lower-probability score volatility, with Kudrivka’s recent results mixed and Shakhtar’s run including several multi-goal wins and a few clean sheets[3][13][17].

For traders, the main catalysts are straightforward: confirmed line-ups, late injury or rotation news, and any schedule change before kick-off, because a postponement would keep the market open until the revised fixture is played. Live match flow also matters less than in spread markets, since only the end score settles the contract; a one-goal change either side can flip the outcome from a full win to “Any Other Score”. Flashscore and similar live listings show the fixture as active on the day, so the key dependency is whether it starts on time and finishes as scheduled[10][15].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews FK Kudrivka vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk - Exact Score across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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