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UFC 330: Neil Magny vs. Ramiz Brahimaj (Welterweight, Prelims)

Comparison of odds and platforms for "UFC 330: Neil Magny vs. Ramiz Brahimaj (Welterweight, Prelims)" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Scam?.

Neil Magny vs. Ramiz Brahimaj 100% Fight won by KO/TKO? 100% Magny to win by KO/TKO? 100% O/U 0.5 Rounds 100% Volume: $754K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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UFC 330: Neil Magny vs. Ramiz Brahimaj (Welterweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Neil Magny vs. Ramiz Brahimaj100%
Fight won by KO/TKO?100%
Magny to win by KO/TKO?100%
O/U 0.5 Rounds100%
O/U 1.5 Rounds100%
Fight to Go the Distance?0%
Brahimaj to win by KO/TKO?0%
Fight won by submission?0%
O/U 2.5 Rounds0%

Market context

Neil Magny, a 37-year-old welterweight with 28 UFC appearances spanning two decades, faces Ramiz Brahimaj on the preliminary card of UFC 330 in August 2026. Magny has competed at the sport's highest level since 2011, accumulating a mixed record against elite opposition; Brahimaj represents a less-established opponent in the welterweight division. The fight is scheduled as a three-round preliminary bout, meaning it will not headline or co-headline the event and carries standard UFC scoring protocols. Polymarket currently prices this contract at 100% YES for Magny, reflecting either extreme confidence in the veteran's victory or minimal liquidity and trading activity on this particular preliminary matchup.

Preliminary card bouts in major UFC events historically settle without incident, though fighter withdrawals and cancellations do occur in the lead-up to events. Magny's longevity in the sport—competing regularly across multiple weight classes and against ranked opponents—contrasts sharply with limited public record on Brahimaj's competitive history at UFC level, a disparity that may explain the market's current pricing. The settlement window extends to 29 August 2026, providing a two-week buffer beyond the scheduled 15 August event date to account for any postponement or administrative delay.

Traders should monitor official UFC announcements regarding fighter health, weight-cut complications, or card adjustments in the weeks preceding the event. Any public statements from either fighter's camp regarding injury or availability could shift market sentiment. The preliminary card status means this bout may be subject to last-minute scheduling changes if higher-profile fights require rearrangement, though such changes typically do not affect resolution criteria provided the bout occurs within the settlement window.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Neil Magny vs. Ramiz Brahimaj at 100% for "UFC 330: Neil Magny vs. Ramiz Brahimaj (Welterweight, Prelims)".

Neil Magny vs. Ramiz Brahimaj 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $754K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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